- Núm. 12-2, Julio 2014 - Dimensión Empresarial - Libros y Revistas - VLEX 649279773

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Dimensión Empresarial / Vol. 12 No. 2 / Julio - Diciembre 2014, págs. 11-28
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND VISION OF FUTURE
OF BOYACÁ’S INDUSTRIAL CORRIDOR*
DESARROLLO REGIONAL Y VISIÓN DE FUTURO
DEL CORREDOR INDUSTRIAL DE BOYACÁ
DESENVOLVIMENTO REGIONAL E VISÃO DE FUTURO
DO CORREDOR INDUSTRIAL DE BOYACÁ
Julio César Acosta-Prado1
Francisco José Mojica Sastoque2
José Oswaldo Espinosa Cuervo3
FORMA DE CITACIÓN
Acosta-Prado, J. C., Mojica, F. J. y Espinoza, J. O. (2014). Regional development and vision of future of boyacá’s
industrial corridor towards 2019. Revista Dimensión Empresarial, vol. 12, núm. 2, p. 11-28
JEL: R11, R28, R58
ABSTRACT
This article is the result of a research project: A Foresight Analisys of a Region for Economic Planning -- Boyacá’s
Industrial Corridor Towards 2019.The theoretical foundations of the project were based on Territorial Foresight. The
methodology was designed considering the following aspects: (1) Current situation of the region within a Global,
National and Regional context; (2) Identication of world trends and technology affecting the region and its produc-
tive sectors; (3) Identication of key factors that characterize the region; (4) Prioritization of strategic variables and
understanding of the territorial development system. Based on these aspects, four alternate scenarios of possible
futures (futuribles) which could take place in the region were constructed. Likewise the most likely scenario “bet
scenario” was proposed which was called “Competitive Region - World Integrated”. It comes with seven strategies
for its concretion from the present time. The study becomes even more important since the region has received
funds coming from the National Government as well as from foreign investment interested in strategic projects.
* This article is the result of a research project: A Foresight Analisys of a Region for Economic Planning -- Boyacá’s Industrial Corridor Towards 2019,
conducted by the Center for Strategic Thinking and Foresight of Externado University of Colombia.
1 Doctor in DirecciónManagement and Business Organization of the Autónoma University of Madrid. Postdoc in Administration of the Sao Paulo Uni-
versity. Professor of business administration of the Externado University of Colombia. Email: julioc.acosta@uexternado.edu.co
2 Doctor in Human Sciences and Postdoc in Foresight and Strategy of the Paris Descartes University. Director of the Center for Strategic Thinking and
Foresight of the Externado University of Colombia. Email: francisco.mojica@uexternado.edu.co
3 Master in Strategic Thinking and Foresight and Researcher of the Center for Strategic Thinking and Foresight of the Externado University of Colom-
bia. Email: jespinosa@dnp.gov.co
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Dimensión Empresarial / Vol. 12 No. 2 / Julio - Diciembre 2014, págs. 11-28
Keywords: Industrial Corridor of Boyacá - Territorial foresight - Regional development - Vision of the future
Content: Introduction, 1. Theoretical foundations, 2. Methodology of territorial foresight applied to the “region
of economic planning of Boyacá’s Industrial Corridor” (R-CI-BOY), 3. Strategies and actions for scenario 1, 4.
Final considerations.
RESUMEN
Este artículo es resultado del proyecto de investigación: “Análisis prospectivo de la región económica de plan-
icación - Corredor Industrial Boyacá al horizonte del año 2019”. Los fundamentos teóricos del proyecto se
establecieron con base en la prospectiva territorial. El desarrollo metodológico se hizo valorando los siguientes
aspectos: (1) Situación actual de la región en un contexto mundial, nacional y regional; (2) Identicación de
las tendencias mundiales y tecnológicas que afectan la región y los sectores productivos; (3) Identicación de
los factores clave, que caracterizan la región; (4) Priorización de las variables estratégicas y comprensión del
sistema de desarrollo territorial. Con base en lo anterior se conjeturaron cuatro escenarios alternativos de futuros
posibles (futuribles) que pueden ocurrir en la región. Asimismo se propuso el escenario apuesta llamado región
competitiva e integrada al mundo, con siete estrategias para su concreción desde el presente. El estudio cobra
mayor importancia porque en la actualidad la región cuenta con mayor disponibilidad de recursos de inversión
por parte del Gobierno Nacional y, por la inversión del capital extranjero para realizar proyectos estratégicos.
Palabras clave: Corredor Industrial de Boyacá, prospectiva territorial, desarrollo regional, visiones de futuro.
Contenido: Introducción, 1. Fundamentos teóricos, 2. Metodología de la prospectiva territorial aplicado a la
“región de la planicación económica del Corredor de Boyacá Industrial” (R-CI-BOY), 3. Estrategias y acciones
para el escenario 1, 4. Consideraciones nales.
RESUMO
Este artigo é resultado do projecto de pesquisa: “Análise prospectivo da região económica de planejamento -
Corredor Industrial Boyacá ao horizonte do ano 2019”. Os fundamentos teóricos do projecto estabeleceram-se
com base na prospectiva territorial. O desenvolvimento metodológico fez-se valorizando os seguintes aspec-
tos: (1) Situação actual da região num contexto mundial, nacional e regional; (2) Identicação das tendências
mundiais e tecnológicas que afectam a região e os sectores produtivos; (3) Identicação dos principais fatores
que caracterizam a região; (4) Priorização das variáveis estratégicas e compreensão do sistema de desenvolvi-
mento territorial. Com base no exposto quatro cenários alternativos de futuros possíveis (eventos futuros) que
podem ocorrer na região. Assim mesmo propôs-se o palco aposta chamado região competitiva e integrada ao
mundo, com sete estratégias para sua concreción desde o presente. O estudo cobra maior importância porque
na actualidade a região conta com maior disponibilidade de recursos de investimento por parte do Governo
Nacional e, pelo investimento do capital estrangeiro para realizar projectos estratégicos.
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Dimensión Empresarial / Vol. 12 No. 2 / Julio - Diciembre 2014, págs. 11-28
INTRODUCTION
Boyacá’s “Administrative Department of Planning” and the
“Center of Strategic Thinking and Foresight” of the University
Externado de Colombia, conducted in 2010, A Foresight
Analisys of a Region for Economic Planning -- Boyacá’s
Industrial Corridor Towards 2019.
Considering the changes in the context and the emergence
of new factors of change it was felt necessary to update and
expand the study in order to include new social, economic
and environmental challenges. The project was initiated
reviewing the following studies: “The development plan for
Boyacá 2012-2015” (El plan de desarrollo departamental
de Boyacá 2012-2015). “The reform of the general system
of royalties” (La reforma del Sistema General de Regalías);
“The contract/plan Boyacá on its way to prosperity: the way
to achieve the Seven Wonders” (El Contrato Plan “Boyacá
camino a la prosperidad”, la vía de hacer efectivas Las Siete
Maravillas); “Boyacá 2019 Vision: the land of freedom and
bicentennial prosperity” (La Visión Boyacá 2019: territorio de
libertad y prosperidad bicentenaria); “The Regional Strategic
Plan of Science, Technology and Innovation - PERCTI- for
Boyacá 2012-2022” (El Plan Estratégico Regional de Cien-
cia, Tecnología e Innovación -PERCTI- del Departamento
de Boyacá 2012-2022).
The study acquires relevance for three reasons: First, the
region has financial resources coming from the National
Government as well as from foreign investors interested
in strategic projects. Ideally, these funds will be directed
towards the key factors for the advancement of the region as
stated in the most likely scenario (bet scenario). Secondly,
due to the progress the country has achieved in land use
and business associations, the environment has improved
so that the region can be consolidated under a propitious
governance framework and; thirdly, in past years several
infrastructure developments have been executed such as
the highway Bogota-Tunja-Duitama-Sogamoso that have
equipped the region providing privileged conditions for
further development. With the proposed complementary
projects to update the Foresight study, the intention is
to give robustness and content to the region’s strategic
objectives so that they will contribute to the economic
development and integral growth of Boyacá’s Industrial
Corridor.
The objective of this paper is, rst to validate the state of the
art and to conduct technological surveillance in light of the
new set of opportunities available in the region as a result of
new laws and public policies, which will impact the region in
the next 6 years. Secondly, to identify change factors, stra-
tegic variables and to dene hypothesis in order to formulate
the “most likely” and relevant scenarios for the region, and
nally, to design and validate alternate scenarios for the fu-
ture which will permit to propose the challenges, strategies
and implications in the “bet scenario” for the development
of the region.
1. THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS
Territorial development is a dynamic relationship between
men and his land.
This relationship is in a constant process of transformation
searching for a well-being. It is also the result of:
Palavras-chave: Corredor Industrial de Boyacá, prospectiva territorial, desenvolvimento regional, visões de futuro.
Conteudo: Introdução, 1. Fundamentos teóricos, 2. Metodologia de previsão territorial aplicada à “região de
planejamento econômico do Corredor Industrial de Boyacá “ (R-CI-BOY), 3. Estratégias e ações para o cenário
1, 4. Considerações nais.

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